), Labor's support in Canning has followed the downward trend of Labor's vote state-wide, dropping below the state vote since the inclusion of Halls Head and more rural areas in 2001, and Mandurah and further rural areas since 2010. As an electorate, Canning can be seen as divided into two main urban sectors Mandurah and Armadale with a smaller number living in the sort of semi-rural hinterland. Or the oily seductive lasciviousness of Tricky Dicky, or pork Bariilaro !!. What happened to the climate change vote? thanks for the laugh WD, Guess winediamond means PM material, that is a member who has leadership qualities but hasnt been able to obtain a party leadership position yet. So, theres a tendency to think anything we can do to increase trade will be a good thing, even if it may be a bit rough around the edges. She is a founding member of the End Homelessness Alliance, and has sat on a number of Boards including Community Employers WA, SECCA, and WACOSS. Booths are split into four areas. An executive with Clive Palmers Mineralogy company, he was the Palmer United candidate for Cowan at the 2013 federal election. Rudd was encouraged to go to a double dissolution on the CPRS. Picture: File image. It also integrates with the governments broader image, because issues where the public wants toughness are the ones where the government still has the advantage. Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties' campaigns, and key issues in Canning. Avon students education may be enhanced by expanding course and extra-curricular offerings. When Alannah Mactiernan nominated it looked almost certain she would win the seat. Andrew Hastie (Liberal) since a September 2015 by-election. Semi-retired. Updated June 22 2016 - 3:56pm, first published 12:23pm. As a kayak enthusiast, he has paddled the Black River, Sandusky Bay and along much of the Lake Erie shoreline in between them. Demographically wise, what seat or area would Canning be similar to on the east coast? Additionally, a protest vote is expected as voters mark their dissatisfaction with the Abbott government. Randall held Canning for over a decade, winning re-election in 2004, 2007, 2010 and 2013. Abbott's opponents didn't wait for the by-election, with the coup that installed Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister coming in the final week of the by-election campaign. Geography South of Perth. Reach the author at rpayerchin@MorningJournal.com or follow Richard on Twitter: @MJ_JournalRick. You have entered an incorrect email address! Pinter, did not return a Morning Journal election questionnaire. Ive dedicated my career to making life better for Western Australian families, and want to continue that work in the Federal Parliament, she said. the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages . Ms Congrene said the time was now to bring justice to the fore and make a difference at the federal level by removing the fear and restrictions impacting Australians. My feeling is that the Abbott government has narrowed itself to very few lines of attack national security and union corruption and it has overreached on both of them. The US is considering a nationwide TikTok ban over Chinese spying concerns. Johnston was defeated herself by Labors Jane Gerick in 1998. California's early returns are a major drop off from the same period in September's gubernatorial recall election, when nearly 38% of voters had voted as of election eve. He serves on the Joint Statutory committee on Intelligence and Security and the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade. There have been some minor changes to the boundary with Burt north of Armadale and rural Boddington Shire has been transferred to O'Connor. History [ edit] The Canning Stock Route. So not like Queanbeyan, Blue Mountains and Geelong residents. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Assessment Canning is a safe Liberal seat. Randall died suddenly in mid-2015, causing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Liberal leadership. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Candidate profile: John Weigman for Avon School Board, November 2021 But there are nine other candidates hoping to take the federal seat. As a single mother, she also said she had balanced work and parenthood like so many other Western Australians. Voters in the Avon School District will pick three school board members from among six candidates on the Nov. 2 ballot. Avon Schools are top performers academically but at the bottom for dollars spent per pupil, Weigman said. Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. Candidates Andrew Hastie ( Liberal) Amanda Hunt ( Labor) Tammi Siwes ( One Nation) Anthony Gardyne ( Federation) James Waldeck ( United Australia) Brad Bedford ( Western Australia Party) Judith Congrene ( Informed Medical Options) Jodie Moffat ( Greens) Ashley Williams ( Independent) A: The Perth to Mandurah rail line was a great public policy success that everybody associates with the last state Labor government. A: Well, yes, that sort of sentiment probably does resonate in a place like Armadale. The current margin seems very inflated and Canning has a history of very strong swings in both directions. The division was created in 1949 and is named for Alfred Canning,[1] the Western Australian government surveyor who surveyed the Canning Stock Route. @Redistributed Not from WA but my working assumption is something like West Gippsland between Pakenham and the Latrobe Valley, or Ipswich and the Lockyer Valley. The filing deadline for this election was March 9, 2022. Kevin Rudd had a massive lead in the polls and Canning was on a narrow margin. So, the sentiment might be that were strong trading partners with China and need to do what we can to strengthen the relationship. He joined the military in 2001 following the September 11 attacks and moved to Western Australia in 2010 to undertake SAS training. Andriette du Plessis is an endorsed nurse practitioner and works in general practice and a variety of aged care facilities. MacTiernan contested and won Perth at the 2013 Federal election, while Don Randall had another swing in his favour in Canning. He entered the workforce at age 15, back initially working for the curator of the biggest car museums in the state, then finding work in the horticultural industry. Election | As of the 2022 election, it includes most of the Peel region, including the City of Mandurah and the Shires of Serpentine-Jarrahdale (including Byford and Mundijong), Murray (including Pinjarra, Yunderup and Dwellingup), and Waroona (including Waroona and Preston Beach). She was the Pirate Partys second WA Senate candidate at the 2014 Senate re-election. There are 11 people vying for the Canning seat. Liberal MP Andrew Hastie, who has held onto the seat for close to seven years, lives in Mandurah with his wife Ruth and three children Jonathan, Beatrice, and Jemimah. Q: Thats fine if youre selling something. [5], In August 2021, the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) announced that the Shire of Boddington would be transferred to the seat of O'Connor, while the Gosnells suburbs of Kenwick, Maddington, Orange Grove and part of Martin would be transferred to Burt. However, Randalls personal vote was estimated to be around 5%. Candidate profile: Tara Tatman for Avon School Board, November 2021 The loss of Boddington reduces the area of the electorate by around a third but the number of voters involved is small and the Liberal margin remains unchanged on 11.6%. A: Yes. Clarke grew up in the great southern before moving to the central wheatbelt where his family worked in agriculture. Alfred Wernam Canning, 18601936. Jamie Van Burgel, Vimal Kumar Sharma and Greg Smith. Some 22% of voters . Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. As one of nine children, Tammi Siwes said she had seen her fair share of poverty and the toll on families caused by the injustices of the family law courts. For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Guess who will look the Goose !??? Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[7]. All over Canning people are telling me theyre angry about Tony Abbotts failure to create jobs and his cuts to schools and hospitals. LOS ANGELES Progressive Democrats were knocked on the defensive in their own party over crime and homelessness on Wednesday after voters in two high-profile California races . He joined the military in 2001 following the September 11 attacks and moved to Western Australia in 2010 to undertake SAS training. Then the successful leadership challenge from Julia Gillard made the government look unstable. Teede started her career as a primary school teacher and taught across regional Western Australia before before becoming the Managing Director of the regional TAFE college in the Goldfields-Esperence region. And if there is any anti-politician sentiment its less likely to be taken out on Labor. Greens candidate Jodie Moffat is again standing for Canning after running in the 2019 election. Having worked for mineral exploration companies, and following postgraduate studies, Gardiner moved to the eastern states and completed a Master of Natural Resources. A: Its probably a smart move in terms of coherent Liberal Party messaging. No Mandatory Vaccine candidate for Darling Range at the 2021 WA election. The BRS case might have some impact, probably not a lot in it though. Election | Greens candidate for Canning Jodie Moffat. Waldeck has worked throughout Perth in various management and supervisory roles in hospitality and construction. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, New Morrison ministry takes office following election win, Labor leader Anthony Albanese announces frontbench. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Theres bound to be some areas that are supportive of the rhetoric otherwise why would the Libs decided to be so hawkish. His narrow margin in 2001 blew out to 59.5% in 2004, shrinking to 52.2% in 2010 before growing out to 61.8% in 2013. Its a foundational issue to society and people should decide, not the political elite. Theres a critical mass of people wanting to take a swing at the Liberal Party, either at the federal or state level. From 2010 the votes also include own division pre-poll votes issued as ordinary votes. (Map). But that was a while ago and he hasnt seem to eventuate too much since then. We care about the protection of your data. du Plessis is a Nurse Practitioner and works in General Practice and a variety of aged care facilities. New Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was elected despite the Liberal margin being halved by a 6.5% swing, but the swing attracted far less attention than it would have if Abbott had still been Leader. Note: The electoral division was jointly named for the federal election following the 2019 federal election . But if he is even close to Bob Hawke that would be plenty better than what we are being offered now. But Rudd blew it. Randall tragic death would have aided the Liberals in the bye-election. Redistribution Canning lost the Boddington council area to OConnor and lost Orange Grove to Burt. Voters born overseas tend to be from the UK, South Africa and New Zealand. Since 1980 it has been located in the southern suburbs of the two largest cities in Western Australia, Perth and Mandurah. However, the Greens seem to be spruiking free dental via Medicare and social housing as two of their major pitches. A: Western Australia generally has Labor starting from a long way behind. Tony Abbott was able to gain traction using a scare campaign on the CPRS. Presumably there comes a time when the electorate says now hang on a minute, and the advantage passes to Labor who can oppose what the government is doing without the public accepting that Labor is soft on terror. As a veterinarian for 36 years, Judith Congrene said her passions have expanded beyond animals to push for changes to support small business and to uphold human rights. This steady transfer of Mandurah from Brand to Canning has strengthened Labor's position in Brand and weakened it in Canning. Not sure how it is from an identity perspective I know people from Mandurah who simplify and say theyre from Perth to people outside WA. It seemed Labor underperformed here compared to WA more generally. Ive also seen comparisons to Geelong, but Mandurah is close enough to Perth sprawl and a lot smaller. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}323802S 1160647E / 32.634S 116.113E / -32.634; 116.113, Electoral results for the Division of Canning, Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Western Australia Canning, "Profile of the electoral division of Canning (WA)", "Canning battle looms - Local News - News - General - Mandurah Mail", Liberal and Labor parties hail success of campaigns: ABC 20 September 2015, "Redistribution of Western Australia into electoral divisions, January 2016", https://www.aec.gov.au/Electorates/Redistributions/2021/wa/files/redistribution-of-western-australia-into-electoral-divisions-august-2021.pdf, "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide", Division of Canning - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Canning&oldid=1136496563, This page was last edited on 30 January 2023, at 16:26. William Bowe does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. First Election This Boundary Was Used At: First federal election following the 2019 federal election. A: Western Australians are probably more likely to be supportive of the FTA given we see our economy as so dependent on China. [6], Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. I thought there will be more Red around Byford (mortgage belt) and Mandurah north of the estuary. Voters should re-elect me to the Avon Local Schools Board of Education because throughout my tenure the district continues to show its fiscal responsibility by remaining in the bottom 8 percent of school district expenditure per pupil while continuing to be recognized as a high achieving school district by the state of Ohio, Tatman said. Solar energy is directly helping to address rising energy costs and housing affordability. However, he is only 39 so its not as if he is in his twilight years. Presumably Bill Shorten will promise the support of a future federal Labor government for the scheme. Q: Do you think the proposed China FTA is going to be an issue? The ALPs Wendy Fatin won the seat in 1983 at the same time as the election of the Hawke government. Natalie Mast is the Chair of the Editorial Board of The Conversation. But the former SAS soldier has spent the past year accumulating a $200,000 campaign fighting fund as well as being dragged into Perth property developer Greg Polands attempt to sue Nine website WAtoday for defamation. . Labors MP for Burt Matt Keogh failed to win the seat in a bye-election and Alannah Mactiernan gamble of giving up her state career to contest the seat failed in winning the seat. Results 1983-2016, FRASER ANNING'S CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL PARTY. The candidates were sent Morning Journal questionnaires and here are some of their responses: Canning, 48, is hoping to win a seat on the school board he was appointed to this year. Canning had a Liberal margin of 4.3 percent leading into the 2010 election,[2] and was targeted by Labor, who stood high-profile candidate and former state Labor MP Alannah MacTiernan. A property valuer who previously contested the seat at the 2010 federal election and was the Australian Christians lead candidate for the Senate in 2013. Election results in Canning at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party and Labor. Canning (WA) LIB: 11.6: Capricornia (QLD) LNP: 12.4: . Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. That said, I wouldnt be surprised if a great part of the electorate could be mollified by the sort of big-ticket road funding that the Abbott government will be promising. I will continue to be a good community partner working with the PTA and booster groups along with city leaders in Avon to ensure we have a strong relationship. GREG SMITH, AUSTRALIAN DEFENCE VETERANS PARTY. The former Uniting WA chief is the underdog in the race against Mr Hastie after he retained the seat for the Liberals at a by-election in 2015. Canning is an interesting seat as it has a strong Labor area in Mandurah that is surrounded by strong Liberal areas. Moffat is a civil litigation lawyer, mother and environmental activist. Maybe Andrew Hasties hawkish stance on China helped him here. It was the only Western Australian seat to record a swing to Labor at the election. She worked across many fields, specialising in critical care, emergency, and trauma ICU, before immigrating to Australia in 2002. He said the Liberal and Labor duopoly had run Australia into the ground while ever expanding their spending, their reach, and their power over how citizens live their lives. Sadie Canning was Western Australia's, and . Candidate profile: Alissa Gault for Avon School Board, November 2021 He was also been an adviser on Operation Sovereign Borders. Anthony Gardyne said he felt compelled to run for the seat of Canning to restore a free and democratic society. But how can they sell tax cuts without dismantling the rest of their argument about restoring the budget? Expect all the WA seats to have a larger than average swing to Labor the question is how large. He is a good fit for the electorate. Out of the four this seat is probably the Liberals best chance of retaining. Assistant Defence Minister Andrew Hastie currently holds the seat with a comfortable margin of 11.6 per cent but newcomer Amanda Hunt is hoping to win the seat in what would be a huge upset for the Liberals. Q: The one issue that seems to be resonating with the electorate is crime, which is fundamentally a state issue. Since being elected he said he had worked hard to deliver for communities across the Canning electorate including roads and rail, health services, job opportunities, reliable mobile and internet coverage, and support for local volunteers. Armadale being the area of the Canning electorate which is the most naturally favourable area of it for Labor and also the area that swung . Since 2012 she has served as the CEO of the Peel Development Commission and Chair of the Peel Workforce Development Alliance. In mid-2015 Randall died suddenly, producing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Prime Ministership. None of the three main party candidates are able to vote in the election - Keogh and Hastie, who both moved into the electorate after being preselected, left it too late to change their enrolments. By hiring highly talented leaders, staff and educators, Avon has been able to excel on school performance while still being financially responsible with taxpayer money.. I keep going back to Armadale versus Mandurah. Q: How large a swing will Labor need to attain to worry Tony Abbotts leadership and possibly trigger a cabinet reshuffle? The civil litigation lawyer and environmental activist says she is driven by the chance to give future generations the same opportunities in life in education and in the environment. With a couple of days to go until it's time to hit the voting booths on May 21, the Mail has summed up what your local candidates are advocating for. The third most important area currently is moving past the effects of the novel coronavirus pandemic. His decision to enter politics was largely based on his perception that politicians had abandoned their working-class citizens. Jobs and crime, particularly drug-related crime, especially ice. Animal Justices lead candidate at the 2013 WA Senate election and 2014 WA Senate re-election. Hhahahahaha!!!!. He said he was tired of living under a bureaucratic dictatorship and in speaking with family, friends and people in the community he believed many Australians felt the same. So, using these issues becomes counter-productive, and it has too narrow a front to attack on. He listed (Swan, Pearce, and Hasluck). For most of its last three decades, it has been a highly marginal seat due to the balanced proportion of the urban north and the rural south, changing hands between the Australian Labor Party and the Liberal Party. The focus on the candidates, and the stories about Hastie, has been good for the Liberals. Following the death of sitting Liberal Party member Don Randall, a byelection will be held on September 19 for the federal seat of Canning. Making sure growth is aligned with infrastructure, while maintaining fiscal responsibility. Theyre two different places with very different outlooks. Ms Hunt said she was passionate about creating job security, affordable housing, cheaper childcare, improving the quality of life of aged care residents, and more NDIS support. If Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie gets 47% of the primary vote, hes going to win by about 55-45. I have both the life experience and work experience from being an army captain with logistics, human resources, strategic planning, negotiation and team leadership that I will apply for the people of Canning. FREE footy tipping is here! AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). But interestingly he also mentioned the seat of Canning. ANGELA SMITH, SUSTAINABLE POPULATION PARTY. Upon completion of our new Performing Arts Center, I am looking forward to hearing ideas of how we can maximize the use of this wonderful facility to benefit our students and our community.. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Labor also endorsed a high profile candidate for the 2010 election in Alannah MacTiernan, the former state MP for Armidale and Minister for Planning and Infrastructure through two terms of state Labor government. Meanwhile, Ms Hunt, who was also previously State director of Mission Australia, says voters in Canning want a Federal Government and a local member who will work in partnership with WA. I absolutely support marriage equality. She was defeated after a single term in 1998, as was her Labor successor Jane Gerick in 2001. Peter van Onselen was on the show Insiders and mentioned four seats in WA that on internal polling are gone for the Liberals on current polling. I am committed to transparency. [1] MacTiernan contested and won Perth at the 2013 Federal election, while Canning saw another Liberal blow-out for Don Randall. Ive delivered funding for infrastructure and essential services our fast-growing region needs, like the Lakelands Train Station, he said. For the past 25 years, Amanda Hunt has worked her way up in the community services sector finding herself in chief executive roles for the most part. The less the focus is on national concerns the happier theyll be. the swing as measured as the difference between the percentage of first preference votes received by a party candidate at this election and the percentage of the first preference votes received by that party's candidate in the comparable polling places at the previous election. It is named after Alfred Canning, who is also the division's namesake The division was created in 1949 and is named for Alfred Canning, [1] the Western Australian government surveyor who surveyed the Canning Stock Route. Sadie Canning was Western Australias, and possibly Australias, first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron who made a significant contribution to Australian health and Indigenous outcomes; and. If elected, Mr Bedford believes he can make Canning and Western Australia an even better place for everyone to live. 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