You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. 0:36. Labor 32.94% 2. If that happens, they win. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. Departures - add 3.5 hours to ETD. On a primary vote basis, the three areas look very different. Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. 3483 remaining and they are breaking 25.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 30.8% GRN and 15.6% Other. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. While Macnamara is mentioned as a possible Green gain, the playing field from which the Greens might emerge as victors differs greatly from that in traditional Labor seats north of the Yarra. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Redistribution Macnamara lost Windsor to Higgins. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. What are the top two to three issues in West Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Danby, MP for Melbourne Ports since 1998, . For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. Also the issue for Josh Burns is that most of the population growth is occurring in the west of the seat such as Southbank/Fishermens Bend. Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. Phil, the AEC have already done a 3CP count for all the ballots currently counted, and published it. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 ALP 30,499 3. Tel: +61 3 9646 8544Email: Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. Immediately below is the video of the event. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. She taught in a variety of schools, both primary and secondary, and worked as an education consultant both here and in Japan. West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. Inner south of Melbourne. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . William Bowes update on PB tonight sums it up well and he states that based on whats left and how the numbers are falling, things are now trending the Greens way. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. Because 500 votes separated the Greens from Labor, and in all seats covering Macnamara, the Greens had an increase in primary votes, 8% in Prahran, 4% in Albert Park, and even 1.1% in Caulfield with a teal running. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. Occupation:Environmental health physicist, Education: Bachelor of Science in physics, University of Central Florida, Master of Science in health physics, Georgia Tech, Political/government/civic experience:U.S. Navy, enlisted, 1980-1990; U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Engineering and Health Physics Fellow (1991-1995); associate professor and chair, Department of Health Physics, University of Nevada, Las Vegas (1995-2004); U.S. Air Force scientist, 2004-2022; president of church congregational council (2017-2021); member of West Melbourne Board of Adjustments (2019-2022), member of School Advisory Committees (Suntree Elementary, 2006-2009; Longleaf Elementary, 2010-2012; West Melbourne School for Science, 2013-2015). Immediately below is the video of the event. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. (Click on polling place for results). Filling vacancy: Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, Police chief vacancy: West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, City manager change: West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council. It covers an area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. But its certainly possible. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. From a secured browser on the server in Albert Park compared to may Vincent! 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